娃哈哈經銷商發言稿

自從2008年美國次貸危機引發的世界金融危機，至今已經整整三年了，各國政府均經過了多方努力，但仍未能奏效，反而二次探底，問題更嚴重。究其原因，我認為是沒有把這次危機的原因搞清楚，因而方法不對，而導致目前問題越來越嚴重。現本人對此提出一些不成熟的想法，若有不當之處，敬請各位批評指正。

It has been 3 years since the U.S subprime crisis triggered the global financial crisis in 2008. Each government has made unremitting effort in combating the crisis, but sadly the measures are not effective enough and the world economy is now on the verge of a double dip. In my opinion, the reason for the setback of overcoming crisis is that we haven’t actually understand the causes of the crisis, thus the measures we have taken are hardly correct and the situation is getting more serious.

一、經濟危機發生的原因

1. The Causes of Economic Crisis

我認為經濟的最基本原則是分工不同，相互交換而已，從原始社會開始，你打獵我種糧，你打獵獲得多餘的肉換我多餘的糧，滿足了大家的需求。直到現代社會這個原則實際上並沒有變，無非是分工和交換更復雜了一點而已。而當前的經濟危機實際上是創造財富與分配財富不平衡所造成的，創造財富的人少，分配財富的人多了，財富不足以分配，不能滿足所有人的'需要，就發生了經濟危機。

I think the most basic principle of economy lies in the division of labor and exchange of goods. Since the primitive society, a hunter can exchange his extra prey for grain from a grain-planter, meeting the needs of both sides. Until modern society, this principle actually has not changed, only the division and exchange has become more complicated. In fact, the root of current crisis is the imbalance of wealth creation and distribution: there are leand lepeople creating wealth while more and more people demanding wealth; the wealth created is not enough to meet everyone’s need, thus it resulted in an economic crisis.

例如歐洲各國一直來實施了高税收高福利的政策，幹活的和不幹活的生活享受都一樣，因此都不願幹活了，都不創造財富了。再説美國，一直在搞虛擬經濟，不注重實體經濟的發展，而虛擬經濟是分配財富而不是創造財富，華爾街的金融炒家們通過各種金融遊戲把市場上的錢都炒到他們口袋裏去了，亦就是財富被他們掠奪了，所以就產生問題了。

For example, Europe has long adopted a high tax and high welfare policy. People who work or don’t work enjoy similar life standards, thus some people are unwilling to work anymore and the number of people who create wealth decreases. United States has long engaged in the development of virtual economy while ignoring real economy. Virtual economy cannot create wealth but only distribute wealth. The Wall Street speculators grabbed all the money in the financial market into their own pockets through various financial “games” and no doubt caused problems in the end.

而中國這些年主要亦是靠出口與投資拉動經濟的發展，沒有解決好分配問題，沒有大幅提高老百姓的收入，內需不足，因此亦受到了世界經濟危機的衝擊。再加上世界上推行以WTO為代表的全球一體化經濟，大家關注的是誰的成本低誰生產。結果發達國家均利用發展中國家的廉價勞動力去生產，導致發達國家不創造財富，發展中國家廉價為發達國家打工。而現在發達國家支付不起了，發展中國家也沒有給老百姓增加收入，亦拉動不了內需，造成出口受阻，內需又拉不起，同樣產生了問題。

While in China, the development in recent years is mainly driven by export and investment. The issue of wealth distribution is not well addressed and people’s income is still lagged behind. The lack in domestic demand indicates that China cannot avoid the adverse impact of global economic crisis. Additionally, the globalized world economy represented by the WTO focuses on the low cost of production. The developed countries are all ma-ki-ng use of the cheap labor in developing countries to produce goods. As a result, the developed countries do not create wealth, while the developing countries are working for the developed countries. At the present stage, developed countries are not able to afford it anymore and developing countries have not enhanced the income of their people. The consequence is that developing countries now face a low domestic demand and a gloomy export outlook.

當前各國政府面對危機的主要辦法是利用財政資金不斷填補銀行被金融炒家掠奪所造成的窟窿，我認為這是沒有從本質上看清問題、解決問題，才造成目前這種狀況。

Meanwhile, government in each country has not realized the nature of the crisis and the way to solve the crisis fundamentally, but was merely continuing exerting itself to patch the financial holes caused by financial speculators through public finance. It is all these factors that lead us to the current serious situation.

二、解決問題的政策

2. Policy for Solving the Problem

總體上應該是採取鼓勵有錢人擴大投資、提供窮人就業的機會，鼓勵窮人通過辛勤勞動致富，改善自己的生活。

Generally speaking, the policies to be adopted should encourage the rich to expand investment and provide employment opportunities for the poor, and encourage the poor to improve their own life standard through their diligent working.

各國政府均應以解決就業為第一要務，美國經濟大蕭條時期，羅斯福總統以工代賑的辦法解決了就業問題，很快恢復了經濟就是一個例證。因此歐美發達國家政府不要被那些金融炒家們所迷惑了，亦不要再吵來吵去、爭來爭去而不拿出有力的措施去解決問題，讓局面越來越惡化。特別是執政黨與在野黨，要站在國家利益上、全體老百姓的利益上，共同用正確的方法去解決當前的經濟危機，而不要再站在自己政黨與利益集團的利益上，阻撓用準確的方法去解決經濟危機，否則世界會大亂，會給全球老百姓帶來災難。